Comparing today's economic and political ratings with those from previous years when presidents sought re-election reveals that today's climate is more similar to years when incumbents lost than when they won.
Perhaps the broadest indicator of the public's mood comes from
Gallup's satisfaction measure, which asks Americans if they are
satisfied or dissatisfied with "the way things are going in the United
States at this time." The 24% of Americans currently satisfied is most
similar to the 20% recorded in May 1992 during George H.W. Bush's first
and only term. Bush was also the only sitting president of the last four
to lose his re-election bid. (Full story not good for the incumbent Pres.)